Global Disease Monitoring and Forecasting with Wikipedia

Global Disease Monitoring and Forecasting with Wikipedia

Infectious disease is a leading threat to public health, economic stability, and other key social structures. Efforts to mitigate these impacts depend on accurate and timely monitoring to measure the risk and progress of disease. Traditional, biologically-focused monitoring techniques are accurate but costly and slow; in response, new techniques based on social internet data, such as social med...

Comprehensive Wikipedia monitoring for global and realtime natural disaster detection

Natural disasters are harmful events resulting from natural processes of the Earth. Examples of natural disasters include tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, floods, droughts, and other geologic processes. If they affect populated areas, natural disasters can cause economic damage, injuries, or even losses of lives. It is thus desirable that natural disasters be detected as early as poss...

Forecasting the global burden of Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND Our goal was to forecast the global burden of Alzheimer's disease and evaluate the potential impact of interventions that delay disease onset or progression. METHODS A stochastic, multistate model was used in conjunction with United Nations worldwide population forecasts and data from epidemiological studies of the risks of Alzheimer's disease. RESULTS In 2006, the worldwide prev...

How to improve monitoring and forecasting of disease patterns.

Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises†

Can we improve forecasts of currency crises by using a large number of predictors? Which economic variables are most important to predict currency crises? This paper evaluates the performance of traditional Leading Indicators and a new Diffusion Index (DI) method as Early Warning Systems to monitor the risk and forecast the likelihood of the recent currency crises in East-Asia. We find that, re...